South Point, a sports book in Las Vegas, has released season win total over/unders for all 128 FBS teams in America. You can find a full list of win totals here. What do the oddsmakers believe that the Wake Forest Demon Deacons will accomplish during the 2016 season?
The South Point sports book has pegged Wake's over/under at 5.5, which puts them right on the cusp of bowl eligibility. The current odds are Over (+110) and Under (-130), which means that the book believes that the under is the more likely scenario.
What do I think of the line? I think it's pretty spot on. I can absolutely see this season coming down to the season finale against Boston College with bowl eligibility on the line. Wake has three games, in my opinion, that are must wins: Tulane, Delaware, and Army. If Wake can't go 3-0 in those games, then there are bigger problems than bowl eligibility.
The next tier of games are the home games against Syracuse, Virginia, and Boston College. Ideally Wake wins all 3 of those and becomes bowl eligible, but Wake will only be slight favorites in all of those.
My next tier is away games at Duke, Indiana, and NC State. Winning one of these games would be massive for Wake. Wake has struggled on the road in recent years, and given that Wake probably isn't going to beat all of the above teams at home, then Wake is almost going to have to win one of these in order to secure bowl eligibility. Of these, I believe Indiana is Wake's best chance.
The final tier includes road games at Florida State, and Louisville, along with a home game against Clemson. At this point, I'm not going to entertain the idea of Wake winning one of these games, at least at this point in the season. Of these, however, I believe Louisville is the team that Wake has the best chance of winning.
Can Wake win as many games this season as the Deacs have during the last two seasons combined? Football season is less than 100 days away, and I can't wait to find out. How many games do you all think that the Deacs will win?
Wake Forest Schedule
Date | Opponent | Location | Opponent Over/Under |
9/1/2016 | Tulane | Home | 3.5 |
9/10/2016 | Duke | Away | 5.5 |
9/17/2016 | Delaware | Home | N/A |
9/24/2016 | Indiana | Away | 4.5 |
10/1/2016 | NC State | Away | 6 |
10/8/2016 | Syracuse | Home | 4 |
10/15/2016 | FSU | Away | 9.5 |
10/29/2016 | Army | Home | 4.5 |
11/5/2016 | Virginia | Home | 4.5 |
11/12/2016 | Louisville | Away | 9 |
11/19/2016 | Clemson | Home | 10.5 |
11/26/2016 | Boston College | Home | 6.5 |