/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/9253531/20130306_pjc_ax1_113.0.jpg)
(Click to enlarge)
These situations are through the completed games of March 6th (Wednesday night's games). Following Miami's loss to Georgia Tech, the bottom portion of the conference possibilities changed a little bit but Miami still has the top seed clinched (100% chance). Wake, rather expectedly, fell to N.C. State, and UNC beat Maryland to likely knock them off the NCAA tournament bubble. The table above is not a simulation; it represents the cumulative probabilities of all the remaining scenarios, weighted by the KenPom odds. I will update the table after each game the rest of the way. Enjoy!
Your up-to-the-second ACC Tournament bracket, including UNC's win over Maryland:
8) Boston College
9) Georgia Tech
Winner plays 1) Miami
5) North Carolina State
12) Virginia Tech
Winner plays 4) Virginia
6) Maryland
11) Clemson
Winner plays 3) North Carolina
7) Florida State
10) Wake Forest
Winner plays 2) Duke