Miami Hurricanes (14-9, 3-6) (1-6 Road, 0-4 ACC) (68 KenPom)
@
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8-15, 1-7) (7-7 Home, 1-2 ACC) (252 KenPom)
TV: RSN (ACC Network)
Wake Forest is coming off two straight road blowouts to FSU and Maryland. The Hurricanes have won two straight at home over Virginia and Boston College. Hopefully the Deacs will get a home boost as the Hurricanes travel to the Joel tonight for a 7:00 tip.
Category
Offense
Defense
D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency:
111.7 40
99.4 131
101.3
Adj. Tempo:
65.8 237
67.2
Four Factors
Effective FG%:
51.7 67
47.1 95
49.0
Turnover %:
20.3 170
18.0 299
20.5
Off. Reb. %:
36.1 49
32.3 170
32.5
FTA/FGA:
41.7 78
38.4 181
38.0
Miscellaneous Components
3P%:
38.4 40
33.2 119
34.4
2P%:
48.1 161
45.7 96
47.8
FT%:
73.1 58
68.6 163
68.9
Block%:
9.8 221
10.0 126
9.2
Steal%:
10.3 253
8.9 213
9.5
Miami has been doing pretty well on offense under Frank Haith this year. They rely on a relatively slow pace (65.8 ppg), and are relatively good at everything on the offensive end. Defense has not been as strong. They are limiting opponents to .994 points per possession (remember that 1.00 is really the benchmark), which isn't bad, but it isn't good either. Miami is nearly as bad as Wake Forest at forcing turnovers, with only 18% of opponents possessions ending in a turnover. They are mediocre at defensive rebounding, as well as sending opponents to the line.
The Canes rely on a healthy 3-pt%, which is necessary because 38% of their shots are from behind the arc. They could certainly use a better percentage from inside the 3-point line, but since they limit opponents to poor shooting, it hasn't hurt them as much as it could. Free throw shooting has been a strength for the Canes (3rd in the conference; Wake is first). Ballhandling, as well as shot selection could be better as well. Frank Haith's squad gives up a lot of steals and gets a lot of their shots blocked. That may be a problem if Ty Walker sees a good amount of minutes tonight (which he could with Ari Stewart questionable for the game with an illness).
Through games of February 7, conference games only
Pace: possessions per 40 minutes
PPP: points per possession Opp. PPP: opponent PPP
EM: efficiency margin (PPP - Opp. PPP)
W-L Pace PPP Opp. PPP EM
1. Duke 8-1 68.9 1.12 0.92 +0.20
2. North Carolina 7-1 71.1 1.08 0.95 +0.13
3. Clemson 5-4 64.5 1.05 0.97 +0.08
4. Virginia Tech 5-4 64.7 1.06 0.98 +0.08
5. Maryland 5-4 69.4 1.03 0.98 +0.05
6. Florida St. 6-3 68.6 0.98 0.95 +0.03
7. Georgia Tech 3-6 68.8 0.97 0.96 +0.01
8. Miami 3-6 63.6 1.03 1.07 -0.04
9. Boston College 5-4 64.8 1.08 1.14 -0.06
10. Virginia 3-6 61.3 0.97 1.05 -0.08
11. NC State 2-7 67.7 1.00 1.13 -0.13
12. Wake Forest 1-7 70.5 0.88 1.17 -0.29
GAME STATISTICS | |||||||||||
Player | GP | MIN | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | TPG | FG% | FT% | 3P% |
Malcolm Grant | 23 | 32.9 | 15.4 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.4 | .423 | .878 | .439 |
Durand Scott | 23 | 32.6 | 13.5 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 | .438 | .856 | .383 |
Reggie Johnson | 23 | 24.7 | 12.0 | 9.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | .568 | .677 | .000 |
Adrian Thomas | 23 | 26.1 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | .389 | .708 | .392 |
Garrius Adams | 23 | 28.5 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | .390 | .623 | .338 |
DeQuan Jones | 17 | 15.0 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | .439 | .640 | .091 |
Rion Brown | 23 | 13.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | .361 | .654 | .347 |
Julian Gamble | 23 | 15.0 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | .559 | .375 | .000 |
Donnavan Kirk | 13 | 9.5 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | .406 | .900 | .000 |
Erik Swoope | 20 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | .478 | .667 | .000 |
Raphael Akpejiori | 17 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | .556 | .633 | .000 |
Ryan Quigtar | 4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.000 | .000 | 1.000 |
Totals | 23 | -- | 73 | 37 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 14 | .445 | .731 | .384 |
- Miami relies heavily on an 8 man rotation, with Donnavan Kirk and Erik Swoope seeing just under 10 minutes per game.
- Malcolm Grant, Durand Scott, and Reggie Johnson are the heart and soul of this Miami team, accounting for 41 ppg, 15 rpg, and 7 apg.
- Reggie Johnson is a W-S Prep grad, and came right out of our own backyard. He also tore us up in the ACC Tournament last year. He does an insanely good job (#3 in the country according to KenPom) of grabbing rebounds (19% of all Miami missed shots are rebounded by Johnson). We will have to box him out when a shot goes up, or he is going to have a huge game against us.
- KenPom- Miami 80- Wake Forest 69 (84%)
- Vegas has Miami -8.5 (O/U 144.5)
- My Prediction-Miami 74- Wake 66