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Preseason NIT- Team Preview: Hampton Pirates

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Now that Wake Forest has gotten their loss out of the way early in the season, I figure that we will go ahead and run off 10-15 in a row leading into ACC play. HAHA, but in all seriousness, Wake Forest will play the Hampton Pirates Monday night at 7:00 in LJVM to kick off the Preseason NIT.

The winner of the first game will face the winner of the Winthrop-VCU game on Tuesday at 7:00 (ESPNU). That game should be pretty entertaining as well, but VCU should win that game.

Now let's take a look at the Hampton Pirates.

Click through for what you can expect to see from Hampton tomorrow night.

Most people know very little to nothing about Hampton basketball. If they do know something, they probably only remember when the #15 Hampton Pirates upset the #2 Iowa State Cyclones, as head coach Steve Merfield (in pure jubilation I might add) was carried around the basketball court by David Johnson.

Sorry for the video, only one I could find.

Other than that, Hampton has only made the tournament one other time (the next year in 2002), and has an overall record in the tournament of 1-2. The team this year is looking to end Morgan States reign of terror in the MEAC.

Facts about Hampton University

First of all, let's learn a little bit about Hampton University.

Hampton University
Motto "The Standard of Excellence, An Education for Life"
Established April 1, 1868
Type Private HBCU
Endowment $193 million[1]
President William R. Harvey
Students 5,000
Location Hampton, Virginia, United States
Campus Suburban
Former names Hampton Normal and Agricultural Institute
Hampton Institute
Athletics NCAA Division I FCS
Nickname Pirates
Affiliations MEAC
MAISA
Website www.hamptonu.edu

Some famous alumni include: Booker T. Washington and Wanda Sykes.

Athletically, Hampton has been a member of the MEAC since 1995. Here is an excerpt recapping Hampton athletics since then from Wikipedia:

In 1995, Hampton joined the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference, commonly referred to as the MEAC. Since joining, Hampton has won dozens of MEAC titles in football, men's and women's basketball, men's and women's track, and men's and women's tennis. In March 2001, the men's basketball team made NCAA Tournament history, becoming only the fourth 15th-seeded team to defeat a 2nd-seeded team. Hampton defeated Iowa State, 58–57 on March 15, but lost to Georgetown two days later. The win still makes SportsCenter's Top 10 NCAA tournament upsets.

Rivals include Norfolk State University, located across Hampton Roads in downtown Norfolk, and Howard University in Washington, D.C.

But enough about the lessons about the school and its history, let's get down to business.

Hampton Basketball

Hampton Pirates

Last Season 14-18 (.438)
Conference Record 8-8 (t-5th)
Starters Lost/Returning 2/3
Coach Edward Joyner, Jr. (Johnson C. Smith '95)
Record At School 14-18 (1 year)
Career Record 14-18 (1 year)

Hampton is looking to use last year's campaign as a springboard this year. Things started off slowly last year due to many things, but mainly the shocking death of senior leader Theo Smalling, who was killed in an accidental shooting. After everything got settled, they managed to win their final five regular season games to finish 8-8. They then beat Norfolk State 73-70 before eventually falling to Morgan State 74-67 in the MEAC tournament semifinals.

We can assess what Hampton did well last year by taking a look at the Four Factors of KenPom. Here is the chart and what they show:

Category Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency: 94.3 273 99.2 139 100.8
Adj. Tempo: 67.5 156 67.3
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 47.2 243 46.0 52 48.8
Turnover %: 22.8 296 24.1 15 20.4
Off. Reb. %: 34.5 108 37.4 324 32.7
FTA/FGA: 42.2 71 39.3 212 37.7

In short, Hampton was not very efficient on offense, but did alright on defense. They held opponents well under the D1 eFG%, but were also under it themselves on offense. The Pirates were one of the best at forcing turnovers, but didn't get as much out of it as they could have because of their own inability to hold on to the ball. They got to the line a lot, but only shot 68% from the line, and failed to capitalize on that. It seems like the Pirates have a good setup on both sides of the ball, but just don't capitalize on it. If they can continue to force turnovers, play sound defense, and get to the free throw line, they could be a very good team in the MEAC this year.

Hampton led the MEAC in points allowed per possession at .91. They finished 5th in points scored per possession at .99. Anything under 1.00 is good on defense and bad on offense, vice versa for anything over 1.00. That means that Hampton was very good defensively, but slightly below average offensively.

Miscellaneous Components from 2010

Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 29.9 317 30.6 29 34.2
2P%: 48.4 147 46.1 103 47.7
FT%: 67.8 216 63.1 2 68.9
Block%: 7.0 35 10.6 90 9.2
Steal%: 8.8 86 12.8 14 9.8
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 32.1 173 31.5 129 32.6
A/FGM: 53.1 179 50.2 84 53.5
Defensive Fingerprint: Mostly Man
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 23.4 260 24.7 256 27.1
2-Pointers: 53.4 142 54.0 98 52.0
Free Throws: 23.2 69 21.2 159 21.0
Strength of Schedule

Hampton's Roster

2010-11 HAMPTON PIRATES
NO NAME POS HT WT CLASS HOMETOWN
1 Darrion Pellum G 6-6 205 JR Hampton, VA
2 Travis McClenny G 5-9 175 FR Portsmouth, VA
4 Danny Agbelese F 6-8 215 JR Dallas, TX
5 Brandon Tunnell G 6-1 185 SR Wilmington, DE
11 Mike Tuitt G 6-3 175 JR Bronx, NY
15 Wesley Dunning G-F 6-7 210 SO Washington, DC
20 Charles Funches F 6-8 210 SR Bayonne, NJ
21 Orin O'Bryant F 6-10 215 JR Reading, PA
22 Christopher Tolson G 6-0 175 JR Laurel, MD
24 Emmanuel Okoroba C 6-8 225 FR Garland, TX
32 Kwame Morgan II G 6-3 205 JR Largo, MD
33 Koron Reed F 6-7 215 SO Philadelphia, PA
34 Bakari Taylor F 6-5 210 SO Bowie, MD
50 Milade Lola-Charles C 6-10 220 JR Laurel, MD

The bad news is that head coach Edward Joyner Jr. has to replace his two best players on offense (Vincent Sampson and Michael Freeman). The good news is that they have a lot of depth and talent to find the replacements. From the Blue Ribbon Preview about guys who could and should step up.

That list starts with 6-6 junior Darrion Pellum (11.5 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.5 apg). The Pirates' top returning scorer, Pellum averaged 12.5 points against MEAC opponents.

Pellum wasn't the only guy who stepped it up in league play. Six of the nine double-digit scoring efforts by Kwame Morgan II (7.4 ppg, 2.5 rpg) came against conference foes, and Joyner expects the 6-3 junior guard to assume a starting role.

Senior Charles Funches (9.2 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.6 bpg), a 6-8 returning starter, will be the main man in the paint with the departure of Freeman, who led the Pirates in rebounding and notched 12 double-doubles.

Milade Lola-Charles (2.0 ppg, 2.6 rpg) is back after logging 19 starts at center. The 6-10 fourth-year junior has gained some needed weight and tips the scales at about 240 pounds now.

Here is a look at the the statistics from last year's Hampton team:

GAME STATISTICS
Player GP MIN PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TPG FG% FT% 3P%
Vincent Simpson 32 29.1 14.1 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.0 3.1 .404 .738 .305
Michael Freeman 31 30.2 11.6 7.5 0.7 1.5 1.2 2.5 .538 .684 .000
Darrion Pellum 31 29.5 11.5 3.6 1.5 1.2 0.1 2.0 .392 .653 .297
Charles Funches 32 27.3 9.2 6.8 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.0 .468 .727 .250
Kwame Morgan II 27 17.0 7.4 2.5 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 .394 .625 .409
Brandon Tunnell 30 16.8 4.0 2.2 2.4 0.8 0.0 1.6 .361 .796 .222
Mike Tuitt 22 18.1 3.8 1.6 2.3 1.0 0.0 2.0 .359 .500 .167
Christopher Tolson 28 12.5 3.1 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.7 .375 .750 .250
Milade Lola-Charles 27 16.5 2.0 2.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 .396 .414 .000
Koron Reed 22 9.1 1.8 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 .600 .333 .000
Jonathan Ntoko 27 7.7 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 .517 .818 .000
Jordan Brooks 15 8.5 0.7 0.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.7 .231 .667 .143
Bakari Taylor 12 3.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 .571 .000 .000
Antwyne Hines 4 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 .333 .000 .000
Totals 32 -- 66 35 12 9 4 16 .424 .678 .299

Projected Starting Lineup

1 Darrion Pellum G 6-6 205 JR

32 Kwame Morgan II G 6-3

205

JR

15 Wesley Dunning G-F 6-7 210 SO
20 Charles Funches F 6-8 210 SR

50 Milade Lola-Charles C 6-10 220 JR

2010-2011 Schedule- KenPom projects the Pirates to go 13-11 (10-6, 3rd in the MEAC)

Current Record
Overall Pct. Conf Pct. Streak Home Away Neutral
0 - 0 .000 0 - 0 .000 --- 0 - 0 0 - 0 0 - 0
DATE OPPONENT LOCATION TIME/RESULT DETAILS
Dick's Sporting Goods NIT Season Tip-Off
11/15/2010 Wake Forest (ESPNU) Winston-Salem, NC 7 p.m. Details
11/16/2010 VCU/Winthrop WInston-Salem, NC 7/9:30 pm Details
11/19/2010 Fordham New York, NY 7 p.m. Details
11/28/2010 High Point High Point, NC 3 p.m. Details
11/30/2010 Georgia State Hampton, VA 7 p.m. Details
Big Apple Classic
12/4/2010 * Howard New York, NY 6 pm Details
12/8/2010 Delaware Hampton. VA 7 p.m. Details
12/20/2010 Towson Hampton, VA 7 p.m. Details
12/22/2010 Liberty Hampton, VA 7 p.m. Details
Hilltop Classic
12/28/2010 Dominican (Calif.) San Francisco, CA TBA Details
12/29-1/11/2010 San Francisco San Francisco, CA TBA Details
1/1/2011 Colorado State San Francisco, CA TBA Details
1/8/2011 * Coppin State Baltimore, MD 4 p.m. Details
1/10/2011 * Morgan State Baltimore, MD 8 p.m. Details
1/15/2011 * Norfolk State Hampton, VA 6 p.m. Details
1/17/2011 * North Carolina A&T Hampton, VA 8 p.m. Details
1/22/2011 * Bethune-Cookman Daytona Beach, FL 4 p.m. Details
1/24/2011 * Florida A&M Tallahassee, FL 7:30 p.m. Details
1/29/2011 * Delaware State Hampton, VA 6 p.m. Details
1/31/2011 * Maryland Eastern Shore (ESPNU) Hampton, VA 8 p.m. Details
2/5/2011 * South Carolina State Hampton, VA 6 p.m. Details
2/12/2011 * Norfolk State Norfolk, VA 6 p.m. Details
2/14/2011 * North Carolina A&T - ESPNU Greensboro, NC 7 p.m. Details
2/19/2011 * Bethune-Cookman Hampton, VA 6 p.m. Details
2/21/2011 * Florida A&M Hampton, VA 8 p.m. Details
2/26/2011 * Delaware State Dover, DE 7 p.m. Details
3/3/2011 * Howard Washington, DC 8 p.m. Details
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tournament
3/7/2011 2011 MEAC Basketabll Tournament Winston-Salem, NC TBD Details

Score Prediction (AccuScore, KenPom, RaJohnston)

KenPom predicts the final to be 74-61 in favor of Wake Forest (89%). They also have Hampton being 20 spotsbetter than Stetson in their ratings. This brings up the questions of whether the Stetson game was a fluke, or if we can expect to see a similar game with Hampton tomorrow night? To the first question, I do not believe that the Stetson game was a fluke. They outplayed us, and the final score was indicative of the game played on the court. That being said, I think that Stetson is much better than the media pundits (picked to finish 10th out of 11 teams in the Atlantic Sun), or KenPom has them right now. The Hampton game will be competitive, but I expect to see a Demon Deacon victory.

Game Projection- Accuscore PTS
Hampton 64.3
Wake Forest 77.2
Projected High-Scorer
J.T. Terrell (WF) 18.9 pts
Live Betting Predictions
Point Spread AccuScore Probability
Hampton +13.5 51.5%
Wake Forest -13.5 48.8%
Over / Under AccuScore Probability
OVR 138.5 53.8%
UND 138.5 46.1%
Money Line AccuScore Probability
Hampton +371 15.8%%
Wake Forest -475 84.3%%
TEAM WIN % PTS BIG WIN CLOSE WIN
HAMP 15.8% 64.3 4.0% 7.2%
WAKE 84.2% 77.2 59.7% 11.1%

Big Win is by 10 or more pts; Close Win is by 4 or less pts.

AccuScore Winning Percentage
AccuScore simulated this game over 10,000 times
Hampton
Wake Forest
15.8%
84.2%
Hampton
Forecasts PTS FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA 3PM 3PA AST STL TO OREB TREB BLK
Darrion Pellum 18.0 6.2 16.2 38% 3.5 5.2 2.1 6.8 3.0 0.8 4.1 1.2 5.5 0.1
Charles Funches 13.6 3.8 8.7 43% 6.0 8.2 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.9 2.8 2.1 8.6 1.1
Kwame Morgan II 9.5 3.1 8.0 39% 1.9 2.8 1.5 3.8 0.9 0.5 1.1 0.8 3.3 0.0
Brandon Tunnell 8.0 2.3 6.2 38% 2.9 3.8 0.4 1.6 3.8 0.8 2.7 0.8 3.8 0.0
Christopher Tolson 4.7 1.6 4.7 33% 0.8 1.1 0.7 2.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.4 2.0 0.1
Mike Tuitt 4.1 1.4 3.9 36% 1.1 2.2 0.2 0.9 2.1 1.1 1.8 0.3 1.9 0.0
Milade Lola-Charles 2.6 1.1 2.9 36% 0.5 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 3.3 0.5
Koron Reed 2.0 0.9 1.6 58% 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.2
HAMP Benchwarmers 1.8 0.7 1.7 42% 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.4 0.1
TOTAL 64.3 21.0 53.8 39% 17.1 25.5 5.1 16.7 12.8 6.0 15.2 7.3 31.0 2.0


Wake Forest
Forecasts PTS FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA 3PM 3PA AST STL TO OREB TREB BLK
J.T. Terrell 18.9 7.0 15.6 45% 3.1 4.0 1.8 4.7 5.7 1.3 4.9 2.2 6.8 0.3
Ari Stewart 11.3 4.1 11.3 36% 1.2 1.8 2.0 5.8 0.8 0.5 3.1 1.3 3.9 0.1
Melvin Tabb 11.2 4.7 8.6 55% 1.8 2.8 0.0 0.1 1.8 0.6 2.0 4.4 12.5 0.7
C.J. Harris 11.2 2.8 7.7 37% 4.3 5.2 1.2 4.0 1.7 1.3 2.2 0.2 1.7 0.0
Travis McKie 7.9 3.1 7.0 43% 1.4 1.9 0.4 1.4 2.1 0.3 2.0 1.3 3.8 0.2
Gary Clark 5.5 2.0 4.8 41% 0.7 1.0 0.9 2.3 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 1.2 0.0
Ty Walker 4.6 1.7 4.8 35% 1.3 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.7 2.2 6.6 3.5
Ryan Keenan 2.7 1.1 2.4 46% 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.6 0.1
Carson Desrosiers 2.5 1.1 1.9 58% 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 0.2
WF Benchwarmers 1.2 0.4 1.3 33% 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.1
TOTAL 77.2 27.9 65.4 43% 14.6 19.8 6.8 19.6 14.2 6.4 17.1 13.8 41.3 5.1
























My Prediction:

Wake Forest-77

Hampton-69

Although it won't be pretty, I think Coach Bzdelik will get his first regular season win at Wake Forest. I expect us to hit the boards hard tomorrow against a decently sized lineup. I would think that coach hammered home rebounding, and that we will see improvements. Turnovers will likely remain about the same due to the lack of offensive fluidity (with the players on the court, as well as the learning curve with the new offense). It is hard to win consistently without a very solid point guard, and as much as I love CJ, he is not to that point yet, but there is no other solution at this point. We should continue to improve in that sector, but tomorrow night should be more of the same.

That wraps up the Hampton preview. I encourage everybody to get out there and support the Baby Deacs, and just enjoy the learning that is going on right now. I honestly believe that this team is going to be very good in the future, and it starts now. As always, comments are always welcome and if anything is requested statistics wise I will do my best to get it up here ASAP.

Go Deacs!!!

Editors Note: Sorry for the formatting of some of the tables/charts/statistics. Some of them do not translate over as well as I would have liked. I will work on getting these into a better format for future previews and recaps.