The Manning Way: Offense by the Numbers

Dave Weaver-USA TODAY Sports

A statistical analysis of Danny Manning's offensive numbers while at Tulsa. Are Manning's offensive tendencies a strong fit with the current roster?

Now that Danny Manning is set to man the reins of the basketball program, we will take a look his teams' offensive numbers over the past two seasons. In just two years as a head coach, Manning was able to take Tulsa to the big dance for the first time since 2003. However, the most impressive part of Manning's accomplishments is that he did so with such a young team, being 303th and 295th in experience.

Offensive Rating and Four Factors

Category 2012-13 2013-14
Offensive Efficiency 97.9 (223rd) 104.7 (169th)
eFG% 48.6 (168th) 49.2 (188th)
Turnover% 21.7% (268th) 16.8% (69th)
Offensive Rebound% 30.3% (225th) 30.2% (219th)
Free Throw Rate 43.6% (24th) 47.1% (40th)

Danny Manning's teams have shown some improvement over his two years in a few offensive categories. However, many of the categories are near or below the D1 average, with the exception of free throw rate and turnover percentage. Manning's teams were among the best in the nation at getting to the charity stripe, which should bode well with the current roster as the Deacs were 1st in the ACC and 20th nationally. I am also very impressed with the huge drop in turnovers from 2013 to 2014. I believe this shows how quickly Manning's teams matured from their first season, when the majority of ball handlers were freshmen, to one of the nation best in year two.

Shooting and Assist Percentages

Category 2012-13 2013-14
2P% 48.2% (149th) 49.2% (140th)
3P% 32.9% (217th) 32.7% (244th)
FT% 66.4% (270th) 67.7% (259th)
3PA% 33.8% (153rd) 31.8% (201st)
A% 50.2% (254th) 51.1% (178th)

Well, this will need to be a spot of growth as Manning's teams did not shot very well over his 2 years at Tulsa. Though, it is clear that Tulsa's roster was built around the inside game and the lack of experience may have played a factor in a pedestrian free throw percentage. It is also important to note that Tulsa lacked in proficient 3-point shooters, as James Woodard was the only real threat from deep.

Style and Point Distribution Percentage

Category 2012-13 2013-14
3PA/FGA 33.8% (153rd) 31.8% (201st)
A/FGM 50.2% (254th) 51.1% (178th)
3-Pointers 26.5% (206th) 23.9% (241st)
2-Pointers 50.6% (215th) 51.6% (163rd)
Free Throws 22.9% (49th) 24.4% (60th)

As far as style is concerned, Manning's Tulsa teams hovered around the median of D1 hoops. It appears that his teams are well rounded and can score in a variety of ways. The bright spot is the teams' high levels of scoring from free throws. This is a result of a high free throw rate, but these numbers could easily improve as Tulsa did not shoot very well from the line.

Tempo and Average Possession Length

Throughout Manning's two season at Tulsa his teams were known for their ability to get out and run in transition. The Golden Hurricane offense played at a fairly high tempo and in a conference whose average tempo was among the fastest of the college basketball conferences. In 2013, Tulsa's average offensive possession was 16.9 seconds, which was the 38th shortest average possession in college basketball. Manning's tempo slowed down a bit in his second season but was still inside the top 75 in average possession length.

These number are very telling but should be taken in with a grain of salt, as Manning's Tulsa teams were very young and inexperienced. That situation is vastly different than the situation Coach Manning enters at Wake Forest, as the Deacs will be among the most experienced teams in the ACC next season. I also expect a smooth transition on offense, as Wakes tempo and style of play is very consistent with that of Manning's previous teams.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Blogger So Dear

You must be a member of Blogger So Dear to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Blogger So Dear. You should read them.

Join Blogger So Dear

You must be a member of Blogger So Dear to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Blogger So Dear. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker