Play Tiger Rag: Wake vs. Clemson Preview

Wake Forest vs. Clemson (4:00)

Fox Sports South/ESPN3

Clemson -3.5

On Saturday afternoon our Deacs will look to rebound from their embarrassing loss at Virginia. The performance against Virginia was this team's worst since that horrific showing against N.C. State on January 14th. Clemson opened up as 4.5 point favorites, but the line has since moved down to 3.5.

The Deacs will look to get revenge from their 71-60 loss at Little John on January 28th. The Deacs will also try snap a five game losing streak, with their last win coming at Boston College on January 21st. Read the rest of the preview after the jump.

Category Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency 103.1 129 95.1 72 100.6
Adj. Tempo 64.7 263 66.6
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 47.7 210 48.3 153 49.0
Turnover %: 19.1 93 22.8 63 20.6
Off. Reb. %: 33.7 124 29.5 58 32.3
FTA/FGA: 32.8 262 30.9 52 36.5
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 32.9 227 36.8 280 34.3
2P%: 47.0 198 45.2 78 47.8
FT%: 67.7 217 70.5 258 68.9
Block%: 6.6 23 12.2 49 9.3
Steal%: 9.6 157 10.6 108 9.7
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 31.0 213 31.0 106 32.9
A/FGM: 54.3 153 51.2 116 53.7
Defensive Fingerprint: Mostly Man
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 26.0 205 28.9 127 27.5
2-Pointers: 55.2 95 52.7 159 52.1
Free Throws: 18.9 263 18.4 266 20.5
Strength of Schedule
Components: 100.5 180 99.8 127 100.6
Overall: .5184 134 .5000
Non-conference: .3890 303 .5000
Bench Minutes: 32.2% 143 31.0%
Experience: 1.88 yrs 103 1.66
Effective Height: +1.1 92 0.0
Average Height: 76.4" 192


Clemson's Strengths

Clemson's strengths clearly come on the defensive end. They only allow 95 points per 100 possessions, which ranks them 72nd nationally. Part of the reason they don't allow as many points is that they make it difficult for opponents to even get shots up against them. They force turnovers on 22.8% of their defensive possessions, which allows this team to remain competitive even when their offense is not clicking.

Clemson also does a very solid job of limiting their opponents' opportunities on the offensive end. They are excellent at limiting the amount of offensive rebounds that their opponents grab. They are also very effective shot blockers. Not only do they block a high number of shots, but they do it without fouling. They only allow about 30 free throw attempts for every 100 field goals their opponents attempt. The national average is about 36. Clemson averaged about 67 possessions per game, so that's essentially saving them from their opponents shooting an additional 4 free throws per game. Given that the line this Saturday is 3.5, those 4 free throws saved on Saturday could very well be the difference in the game.

Clemson's main offensive strength is their discipline. They are above average in terms of limiting turnovers. They are are also able to maintain possessions by grabbing offensive rebounds at an above average rate. They also take smart and calculated shots in the post, as only about 6% of their shots are blocked. That should be an interesting matchup against Ty Walker on the interior.

Clemson's Weaknesses

Clemson is not a great offensive team. Although they average 103.1 points per 100 possessions, this doesn't come as a result of great shooting from the perimeter or around the basket. This is mostly due to their limited turnovers and offensive rebounds as mentioned before. Their effective field goal percentage is well below average. They are below average in 2P%, 3P%, and FT%. This is good news for the Deacs, as we have been getting burned from the perimeter all season. They are also horrendous at defending the three, which is why the Deacs were able to keep it close in Little John.

Based on the length of the strengths and weaknesses sections, it may appear that the Tigers are a very good basketball team, but ultimately the most important thing in basketball is effective field goal percentage, and Clemson is simply below average in that category. That's why Clemson has a sub .500 record.

Projected Starters

Wake Forest

Tony Chennault

CJ Harris

Travis McKie

Nikita Mescheriakov

Ty Walker


Andre Young

Tanner Smith

Milton Jennings

Devin Booker

Catalin Baciu

Andre Young 23 34.5 13.7 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.0 1.1 .407 .861 .354
Devin Booker 23 28.5 11.0 6.9 1.1 0.7 1.0 1.8 .463 .720 .278
Tanner Smith 23 32.2 10.9 5.4 4.0 1.6 0.3 2.2 .433 .703 .356
Milton Jennings 20 25.4 9.2 5.5 1.1 0.8 1.0 2.4 .450 .579 .333
Catalin Baciu 23 10.7 4.4 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 .595 .609 .000
Rod Hall 23 18.8 4.3 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 1.0 .436 .591 .800
T.J. Sapp 23 18.6 4.2 1.9 0.9 0.8 0.0 1.1 .324 .429 .313
K.J. McDaniels 22 10.0 3.6 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.3 .441 .583 .333
Bryan Narcisse 23 14.5 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.5 .394 .684 .211
Bernard Sullivan 21 7.6 1.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 .389 .500 .000
Devin Coleman 15 6.5 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 .087 .625 .000
Carson Fields 6 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 .500 .000 .000
Totals 23 -- 65 34 13 7 4 12 .426 .677 .328

Final Thoughts

I have a really good feeling about this one tomorrow. Probably the homer in me, but I really feel like the Deacs are going to pull out a victory. I think Chase Fischer and CJ Harris are going to hit multiple 3's a piece. I truly believe we will bounce back from the drubbing in Charlottesville. This game marks the first of two consecutive very winnable games for the Deacs at home. With this game, two games against Georgia Tech and an additional home game against Boston College. I know things don't look good for the Deacs now, but I believe that we will end up with 14 wins by the time the season is over.

Wake 67

Clemson 64

As always, please feel free to leave comments and join us on the game thread tomorrow. Riley and I will be at the Joel, but Marty should be holding down the fort on BSD. I'll drop the occasional Twitter Bomb if you want to follow @Robert_Reinhard .


Log In Sign Up

Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Blogger So Dear

You must be a member of Blogger So Dear to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Blogger So Dear. You should read them.

Join Blogger So Dear

You must be a member of Blogger So Dear to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Blogger So Dear. You should read them.




Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.