Wake Forest Freshmen vs. Similar NCAA Freshmen (Part II...Travis McKie)

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Thanks to Bob Hebert, find his pictures right here @ http://www.bobhebert.org/Wake-Forest-Basketball

In this article we will look at the Wake Forest freshmen, and see how they compare to the freshmen that were ranked around them in the Rivals.com final rankings.

My hypothesis is that they are performing at or above average to their peers (at their respective position). We will not look at Melvin Tabb, as he did not play enough. I will put Tony Chennault up if y'all want to see it, but of course he will not compare due to his lack of playing time because of his foot injury. 

So we are predominantly looking at Carson DesrosiersJT Terrell, and Travis McKie to see how they stack up against their classmates. Today we look at Travis McKie

Click through for a look at how Travis stacks up against his counterparts from the 2010 recruiting class.

Travis McKie (#57 Overall in Rivals Rankings (#11 SF))

Travismckiecharts_medium

  A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q
1 Player Team MPG PPG RPG APG TO A/T SPG BLG PF FG% FT% 3P% PPS    
Jereme Richmond Illinois 21.8 7.8 5.2 1.7 1.6 1.03 0.5 0.5 1.8 0.509 0.605 0.125      
Roscoe Smith UCONN 26.2 7 5.4 0.5 0.8 0.68 0.6 1.5 2 0.387 0.772 0.283 1.17    
James Bell Villanova 9.6 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.2 1.25 0.3 0.1 1.4 0.531 1 0.4 1.63    
Justin Coleman Louisville Academically Inelgible                            
Jamail Jones Marquette 5.9 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.43 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 1 0.273 0.9    
Travis McKie WFU 30.7 12.3 7.5 1 2.1 0.48 0.9 1 2.2 0.481 0.745 0.311 1.34    
Evan Smotrycz Michigan 18.7 6 2.4 0.8 1 0.8 0.4 0.3 2.5 0.396 0.667 0.375 1.12    
Mychal Parker Maryland 5.9 1.5 1.4 0.4 0.2 2 0 0.1 0.4 0.368 0.333 0 0.89    
10  Jarell Eddie Virginia Tech 10.8 2.6 2 0.5 0.7 0.71 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.317 0.714 0.143 1.03    
11  Casey Prather Florida 6.9 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.73 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.485 0 0.25 1.06    
12  Matt Derenbecker LSU 21.5 7 2.1 1.1 1 1.08 0.6 0 1.6 0.399 0.731 0.326 1.1    
13                                   
14  Average Null 15.13 4.69 2.68 0.59 0.79 0.91 0.39 0.40 1.39 0.41 0.66 0.26 1.14    
15                                   
16                                   
17  Player Team %Min ORtg %Poss %Shots eFG% TS% OR% DR% ARate TORate Blk% Stl% FC/40 FD/40 FTRate
18 Jereme Richmond Illinois 52 101.8 21.7 21.5 51.3 52.5 11.4 16.1 15.2 20.2 2.3 1.2 3.3 3.2 23.9
19 Roscoe Smith UCONN 64.5 110.7 14.9 14.9 15.6 44.3 50 9.3 13.3 3.5 12 5.5 1.5 3.2 38.5
20 James Bell Villanova 14.4 124.5 10.2 11.5 52.2 58.9 5 10.7 6.3 12.1 1.5 1.6 7.2 2.1 30.4
21 Justin Coleman Louisville Academically Ineligible                            
22  Jamail Jones Marquette 7.7 80.9 17.4 18 37.5 42 6.1 12.1 6.3 30.4 1.3 3     15
23 Travis McKie WFU 76.9 105 21.1 22.2 52 56.6 9 17.9 7.2 17.1 3.1 1.7 2.9 4.3 44.7
24 Evan Smotrycz Michigan 46.5 98.7 19.1 21.2 51.4 52.5 4.5 11.1 8.4 17 1.8 1.3 5.3 2.5 12.9
25 Mychal Parker Maryland 6.7 95.8 18 19.2 36.8 36.5 13.5 11.1 9.9 9.5 1.5 0     47.3
26 Jarell Eddie Virginia Tech 27.2 91.5 17.6 17.2 36.2 43.4 8 14.3 8.7 18.8 3.6 0.7 4.7 3.7 44.8
27 Casey Prather Florida 16.1 88.4 16 14.5 53 53 6.5 12 12.5 35.3 1.3 2.3 3.4 1.3 0
28 Matt Derenbecker LSU 53.2 99.2 17.8 22.2 49.1 51.1 1.7 9 12.6 16.4 0.2 1.8 3 2.4 16.5
29                                  
30  Average Null 36.52 99.65 17.38 18.24 43.51 49.08 11.57 12.36 10.04 18.03 2.86 1.91 3.9125 2.8375 27.4
  • Travis McKie is ahead of his classmates in nearly every statistical category. To debunk the theory that he was just better due to more minutes played, I applied a % based statistical chart (the 2nd one). These are the same type of charts that KenPom, StatSheet, and SCACCHoops.com all use to compare players by taking tempo/minutes out of the equation.
  • The areas that Travis could improve in are: offensive rebounding, and assisting at a hire rate. I believe that these will both increase as the team gets better, especially the assist rate. 
  • In my opinion it is amazing that Travis is able to step up and play at this level for Wake Forest considering how much better he is playing than the guys around him. There are a couple of things that could explain this: he is playing on a worse team and just stepping up, he was much better than these players and Dino did a great job recruiting him, while Jeff Bzdelik has done a good job of developing him. This is the same conundrum that JT Terrell is in as well.
My conclusion: Travis is playing significantly better than the recruits around him. 

This conclusion backs up my hypothesis so far: Wake Forest recruits are playing at or above average compare to their peers. This is based on the stats above that I have listed. 

If you feel that I have left something out, or not done a fair comparison then let me know what I can do differently in the comment section.

Tomorrow: Carson Desrosiers vs. Similar NCAA Freshmen
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