Wake Forest vs. Florida State Game Preview
by RAJohnston on Feb 1, 2011 1:37 PM EST
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Florida State (15-6, 5-2) (9-2 Home)
vs.
Wake Forest (8-13, 1-5) (0-5 Road)
TV: ACC Network (Click here for link to game)
Wake Forest finally got their first win of the ACC season on Saturday vs. UVA. The Deacs will try to carry some of that momentum into tonight's game as they head south to Tallahassee to take on the Florida State Seminoles.
Click through for statistics, projections/predictions, and analysis for the game tonight.
Category Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency:
99.7 195
84.8 3
101.2
Adj. Tempo:
69.7 66
67.3
Four Factors
Effective FG%:
48.4 203
40.9 3
49.0
Turnover %:
23.7 307
22.7 68
20.5
Off. Reb. %:
38.3 15
30.4 89
32.5
FTA/FGA:
38.6 163
37.6 165
38.0
Miscellaneous Components
3P%:
32.9 233
29.3 11
34.4
2P%:
47.9 170
38.9 1
47.8
FT%:
66.4 245
71.6 287
68.8
Block%:
7.9 89
18.2 2
9.2
Steal%:
11.4 316
12.5 22
9.5
Florida State is very good at defense. They are actually VERY, VERY, VERY, VERY, VERY good at defense. Looking at this quick analysis by KenPom, it is obvious how good they are at defense (all the green on the right), and how average they are at offense. This will cause some very big problems for us tonight if we do not bring our "A game" offensively. FSU thrives on wreaking havoc on the defensive end to get easy baskets going the other way. Unfortunately they have been turning the ball over an astonishingly high amount. For Wake to have any chance in this game they are going to have to hit their shots (most likely 3's with Singleton inside) early and often.
The weirdest thing about FSU is how they spread the ball around on offense. If you go to KenPom and look at the individual stats, players are normally grouped into 5 different categories: Go to guy, key contributors, role players, limited roles, and nearly invisible. FSU uses exactly two of these categories: key contributors, and role players. Now make no mistake that Chris Singleton is THE guy in Tallahassee, but the Noles spread the ball around and get more players involved better than probably every other team in the country.
It is a bit shocking that they are not better on the offensive end since there are so many players involved. Kitchen and Singleton should take more shots to begin with, but other than that, they all have mediocre offensive ratings, which really fuels the average ratings offensively.
GAME STATISTICS
Player
GP
MIN
PPG
RPG
APG
SPG
BPG
TPG
FG%
FT%
3P%
Chris Singleton
21
31.0
14.2
7.4
1.4
2.1
1.8
2.4
.429
.689
.359
Derwin Kitchen
21
29.9
10.2
5.9
3.6
1.8
0.1
2.0
.520
.750
.380
Michael Snaer
21
27.7
8.0
2.5
2.0
0.8
0.2
2.5
.350
.800
.351
Bernard James
21
19.8
8.0
5.8
0.1
0.8
2.2
1.3
.663
.479
.000
Deividas Dulkys
20
24.4
7.1
3.2
1.1
1.2
0.4
1.6
.361
.364
.337
Xavier Gibson
13
19.1
6.9
4.8
0.5
0.2
1.3
1.6
.461
.731
.111
Okaro White
21
13.6
5.8
2.7
0.6
0.5
0.2
1.0
.442
.809
.292
Terrance Shannon
18
13.1
4.9
2.8
0.3
0.3
0.3
1.0
.403
.551
.000
Ian Miller
10
14.8
4.8
1.1
0.7
0.4
0.0
1.6
.320
.875
.346
Luke Loucks
21
15.3
3.2
1.8
2.3
0.7
0.0
2.0
.352
.750
.282
Jon Kreft
12
9.3
3.1
2.5
0.4
0.1
0.3
1.3
.520
.524
.000
Joey Moreau
3
1.3
0.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
.000
1.000
.000
Rafeal Portuondo
3
1.7
0.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
.250
.000
.000
Pierre Jordan
12
5.7
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.3
0.0
0.6
.095
1.000
.100
A.J. Yawn
4
1.5
0.5
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
.000
.500
.000
Andrew Rutledge
1
3.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
.000
.000
.000
Totals
21
--
69
40
13
9
6
17
.427
.664
.329
Chris Singleton is a man-child, and will be playing in the NBA some time soon. He leads the team in points, rebounds, and steals. Derwin Kitchen does a great job of spreading the ball around. While the 3.6 assists may not be that impressive at first glance, he is responsible for 1/4 of all assists when he is on the court at 24.9 (KenPom).
FSU does not shoot well from anywhere, but particularly struggles behind the 3-point line. I believe that they will go down low all night until we prove we can stop it. Singleton and James are going to be very, very difficult to guard with who we have. They should be able to outmuscle us and outrebound us all night.
FSU Starting 5 (projected)
- Terrance Shannon (6'8, 220, F)
- Chris Singleton (6'9, 225 F)
- Bernard James (6'10, 240 C/F)
- Michael Snaer (6-5, 225 G)
- Derwin Kitchen (6'4, 204 (LOL), G)
- KenPom- FSU-79 Wake-59
- Vegas likes FSU by 20
- My Prediction: FSU-66 Wake-49
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Good preview, and good luck tonight.
Since Shannon was inserted into the starting lineup Singleton has slid out to play the 3, which has led to fewer scoring opportunities in our non-offense. Defensively he’ll either guard your best player or your worst player (regardless of position) depending on whether Ham wants him available to roam the passing lanes.
And our offense is just terrible.
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I think y'all are just too strong for us on the defensive end.
You don’t have to score a lot of points when your “D” is as good as yours is and our offense is as bad as it has been at times this year.
Wake Forest '12
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