Team Preview: UNC-Greensboro

Uncg_logo_medium

Not to be rude at all to UNC-Greensboro, but if Wake Forest loses tonight to the Spartans, we should disband the basketball program. Wake Forest comes into the game with a 5-4 record, with some unsightly losses, but UNC-G would take that in a heartbeat. The Spartans come into the game with an 0-8 record, and has not been closer than a 12 point loss. 

With a new lineup tonight (CJ, Nikita, Ari/Travis, Gary, and Carson), the Deacs should come out with a ton of intensity and hustle. If we can do that then the result will take care of itself.

Click through for a statistical based preview on UNC-Greensboro

Category Offense Defense D-I Avg
Adj. Efficiency: 92.6 278 113.3 340 100.1
Adj. Tempo: 71.6 29 67.9
Four Factors
Effective FG%: 45.8 250 59.1 345 48.6
Turnover %: 24.6 303 21.1 167 21.1
Off. Reb. %: 32.8 175 41.0 333 32.8
FTA/FGA: 35.8 212 49.9 311 38.0
Miscellaneous Components
3P%: 34.6 145 43.0 337 34.0
2P%: 43.5 275 56.5 337 47.4
FT%: 67.5 194 70.3 241 68.2
Block%: 12.2 297 5.6 301 9.3
Steal%: 15.3 342 8.6 232 9.8
Style Components
3PA/FGA: 26.9 299 31.9 157 32.9
A/FGM: 46.4 305 59.5 275 54.1
Defensive Fingerprint: Inconclusive  
Point Distribution (% of total points)
3-Pointers: 24.2 233 26.9 172 27.2
2-Pointers: 54.9 87 50.2 215 51.7
Free Throws: 20.9 186 22.9 110 21.0
Strength of Schedule
Components: 103.2 69 96.0 17 100.1
Overall: .6960 34 .5000
Non-conference: .7339 25 .5000
Personnel
Bench Minutes: 37.0% 61 31.6%
Experience: 1.18 yrs 312 1.72
Effective Height: +1.4 74 0.0
Average Height: 76.6" 167 76.6"

As you can see, the Spartans have not a single green sector on this board. In terms of adjusted efficiency, they are the 340th team in D1, and are the worst team in America in defensive effective fg%. They tend to play an up-tempo game, and that leads to a bunch of turnovers (they turn it over on approximately 25% of their possessions).

To be fair to UNC-G, they have had a lot of the same problems that we have had. They are a young team, and they have had a very difficult schedule (not a problem that we have had unfortunately). 


GAME STATISTICS
Player GP MIN PPG RPG APG SPG BPG TPG FG% FT% 3P%
Kyle Randall 7 32.3 12.3 2.0 3.6 0.6 0.0 2.6 .400 .840 .409
Aloysius Henry 8 24.1 11.8 5.9 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.5 .507 .636 .167
Brandon Evans 8 21.4 10.0 3.1 1.3 1.0 0.3 2.1 .479 .750 .565
Korey VanDussen 8 27.9 8.6 3.0 2.4 1.1 0.1 1.9 .400 .773 .381
David Williams 8 23.5 7.4 4.4 1.3 1.6 0.5 2.5 .462 .400 .333
Trevis Simpson 4 16.0 6.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 .243 .600 .231
Brian Cole 8 13.5 5.3 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 .395 .750 .167
Aaron Brackett 8 19.8 5.0 4.1 0.3 0.9 0.0 2.3 .409 .500 .143
Cody Henegar 7 10.4 3.6 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 .400 .625 .000
Drew Parker 8 16.8 2.6 1.3 2.3 0.4 0.0 2.5 .250 .800 .333
Taylor Hoffer 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.000 .000 .000
Tyler McNeely 1 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .000 .500 .000
Elhanan Bone 4 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 .333 .000 1.000
Darrius Sellers 7 7.1 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 .000 .000 .000
Brandon Davis 3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .000 .000 .000
Robby Dilmore 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .000 .000 .000
Kendall Bethea 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .000 .000 .000
Isaac Swindell 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .000 .000 .000
Totals 8 -- 68 33 11 7 2 19 .411 .675 .346


Player Stats (adjusted to compare to rest of nation)


    Ht Wt Yr G %Min ORtg %Poss %Shots eFG% TS% OR% DR% ARate TORate Blk% Stl% FC/40 FD/40 FTRate FTM-FTA Pct 2PM-2PA Pct 3PM-3PA Pct
  Go-to guys (>28% of possessions used)
15 Trevis Simpson 6-4 186 Fr 4
20.0 64.3 31.6 39.2 28.4 30.5 7.0 9.1 13.4 20.9 0.0 0.8 6.3 3.5 13.5 3-5 .600 6-24 .250 3-13 .231
  Significant Contributors (20-24% of possessions used)
12 Kyle Randall
National Rank
5-11 165 So 7
70.6 101.7 20.3 21.0 46.4 52.5 2.5 4.6 22.9
351
20.7 0.0 0.9 3.0 3.8 35.7 21-25 .840 19-48 .396 9-22 .409
13 Aloysius Henry
National Rank
6-10 235 Jr 8
60.3 103.2 22.4 24.9
484
51.4 54.2 8.1 19.9
234
2.5 14.7
431
2.6 1.1 5.8 5.2
394
46.5
400
21-33 .636 35-65 .538 1-6 .167
0 David Williams
National Rank
6-6 200 Fr 8
58.8 84.1 20.5 18.8 49.0 48.0 10.1
357
11.1 11.1 27.4 2.1 3.6
188
7.5 3.7 38.5 8-20 .400 21-43 .488 3-9 .333
22 Brandon Evans
National Rank
6-2 210 Sr 8
53.4 109.5 21.0 19.0 61.5 65.3 5.9 10.9 12.4 24.9 1.2 2.5 3.7 5.0
474
58.3 21-28 .750 10-25 .400 13-23 .565
50 Brian Cole 6-8 220 So 8
33.8 84.7 21.3 27.0 41.9 44.9 5.2 6.5 0.0 18.3 0.9 0.5 6.3 3.0 18.6 6-8 .750 15-31 .484 2-12 .167
34 Cody Henegar 6-9 200 Fr 7
22.8 83.5 21.3 23.2 40.0 43.4 12.2 19.1 0.0 20.4 5.5 0.0 3.3 3.8 32.0 5-8 .625 10-21 .476 0-4 .000
  Role Players (16-20% of possessions used)
11 Korey VanDussen
National Rank
6-2 175 So 8
69.7 101.0 16.7 16.7 47.3 52.7 3.5 8.9 16.8 21.3 0.5 2.1 3.8 3.4 40.0 17-22 .773 14-34 .412 8-21 .381
41 Aaron Brackett
National Rank
6-8 230 Jr 8
49.4 70.4 18.5 18.9 42.0 42.7 7.8 16.2 2.6 32.4 0.0 2.3 5.8 2.1 13.6 3-6 .500 17-37 .459 1-7 .143
1 Drew Parker
National Rank
6-2 178 Fr 8
41.9 65.7 16.9 10.1 32.5 42.4 1.7 6.9 23.6
321
46.5 0.0 1.2 0.6
1
2.9 50.0 8-10 .800 2-11 .182 3-9 .333
  Nearly Invisible (<12% of possessions used)
2 Darrius Sellers 6-7 230 Jr 7
15.6 0.0 7.7 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6 0.0 81.9 0.0 1.1 9.6 0.9 0.0 0-0 .000 0-2 .000 0-0 .000



Schedule

 Scores & Schedule
Date Opponent Result Tickets Audio/Video Video Highlights
  Fri, Nov 12 at VCU L 86-101 -- -- --
  Sun, Nov 14 Florida St. L 73-97 -- -- --
  Sun, Nov 21 (22) Virginia Tech L 70-92 -- -- --
  Sat, Nov 27 at East Carolina L 53-81 -- -- --
  Mon, Nov 29 N.C. A&T L 70-82 -- -- --
  Thu, Dec 2 at Wofford L 70-92 -- -- --
  Mon, Dec 6 Furman L 68-81 -- -- --
  Wed, Dec 8 at Maryland L 56-99 -- -- --
 
Date Opponent Time Tickets Audio/Video Video Highlights
  Wed, Dec 15 at Wake Forest 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Sun, Dec 19 at Clemson 2:00 pm -- -- --
  Wed, Dec 22 Richmond 12:00 pm -- -- --
  Wed, Dec 29 (1) Duke 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Thu, Jan 6 Samford 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Sat, Jan 8 Chattanooga 2:00 pm -- -- --
  Mon, Jan 10 Elon 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Thu, Jan 13 at Appalachian St. 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Mon, Jan 17 Davidson 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Thu, Jan 20 Georgia Southern 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Thu, Jan 27 at Chattanooga 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Sat, Jan 29 at Samford 5:00 pm -- -- --
  Wed, Feb 2 Appalachian St. 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Sat, Feb 5 at Western Carolina 2:00 pm -- -- --
  Mon, Feb 7 Citadel 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Sat, Feb 12 at Charleston 4:00 pm -- -- --
  Tue, Feb 15 Miami (FL) 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Sat, Feb 19 at Elon 8:00 pm -- -- --
  Mon, Feb 21 Western Carolina 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Thu, Feb 24 at Georgia Southern 7:00 pm -- -- --
  Sat, Feb 26 at Davidson 2:00 pm -- -- --
    = Subscription Audio       = Free Video      = Free Audio

Predictions:

KenPom: WFU 91 UNC-G 70 (95% chance of winning)

ESPN AccuScore: WFU 87 UNC-G 67 (89% chance of winning)

My Prediction: WFU 88 UNC-G 62

AccuScore Winning Percentage
AccuScore simulated this game over 10,000 times
11.1%
UNC-Greensboro
88.9% Wake Forest
11.1%
88.9%

UNC-Greensboro
Forecasts PTS FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA 3PM 3PA AST STL TO OREB TREB BLK
Kyle Randall 11.6 3.8 10.6 35% 3.4 4.1 0.7 2.6 3.7 0.7 3.6 0.7 2.9 0.0
Aloysius Henry 11.3 4.2 8.1 52% 2.8 4.4 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.8 1.1 6.0 0.3
Brandon Evans 8.7 2.5 6.1 41% 2.8 3.8 1.0 2.2 1.1 1.1 2.4 1.1 4.1 0.1
Korey VanDussen 8.3 2.8 6.8 41% 2.0 2.5 0.7 2.2 2.4 1.5 2.6 0.4 3.2 0.0
David Williams 6.2 2.5 5.4 47% 0.9 2.3 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.8 2.6 1.3 3.8 0.3
Trevis Simpson 6.1 2.3 8.8 26% 1.0 1.6 0.6 3.1 1.3 0.3 2.8 0.7 2.5 0.0
Brian Cole 5.4 2.2 5.1 42% 0.9 1.3 0.2 1.0 0.2 0.2 1.5 0.5 2.0 0.2
Aaron Bracket 4.8 2.2 5.2 41% 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.8 0.3 1.2 2.8 0.9 4.4 0.0
Drew Parker 3.0 0.8 2.6 31% 1.0 1.3 0.4 1.2 2.2 0.4 2.8 0.2 1.6 0.0
NCGRN Benchwarmers 1.6 0.7 1.6 45% 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 2.2 0.2
TOTAL 67.1 24.0 60.4 40% 15.2 22.4 3.9 14.9 12.6 7.2 23.3 7.3 32.7 1.3
Wake Forest
Forecasts PTS FGM FGA FG% FTM FTA 3PM 3PA AST STL TO OREB TREB BLK
Travis McKie 14.9 4.8 9.7 49% 4.8 6.8 0.5 1.8 1.7 2.5 2.5 2.7 9.6 0.6
J.T. Terrell 14.2 4.0 10.8 37% 4.1 5.3 2.0 5.1 2.4 1.4 3.7 0.9 2.7 0.1
Ari Stewart 14.0 5.0 12.9 39% 1.8 2.3 2.2 6.4 1.3 1.0 3.2 2.1 8.2 0.0
C.J. Harris 13.0 3.4 8.1 42% 4.8 6.0 1.3 3.5 3.9 2.0 3.2 0.1 3.7 0.0
Gary Clark 11.8 3.8 8.4 45% 2.3 2.7 1.9 3.8 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.2 4.0 0.2
Ty Walker 5.7 2.1 5.2 41% 1.5 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.7 1.3 1.9 6.9 2.3
Carson Desrosiers 5.5 2.0 5.2 38% 1.4 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.4 1.4 4.3 0.7
Nikita Mescheriakov 5.4 1.7 3.2 53% 1.1 1.3 0.8 1.9 0.9 0.5 1.5 2.0 4.2 0.1
WF Benchwarmers 2.0 0.8 1.9 43% 0.4 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1
TOTAL 86.4 27.6 65.4 42% 22.2 29.2 9.1 23.0 13.9 11.1 18.7 12.4 43.8 4.1



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